Now that your turkey has digested, and before you head out on your Black Friday shopping frenzy, consider this: It’s very likely that there will be more of you applying this year.
EssaySnark is boldly predicting that app volume will go up this year. Why?
- UCLA announced recently that their Rd 1 app volume was up 20% Y over Y. One school does not a trend make, and we don’t actually expect a 20% increase over the entire season, nor at all schools, but if UCLA is seeing it, it’s likely pretty widespread (no diss on Anderson, it’s just that they don’t typically lead the pack).
- Most schools saw apps go down between 2009-10 to last year. Sure, they could follow that dip down again this year, but we don’t think they will. Instead, the heightened-volume trend seems to have stabilized at a “new normal” since the fast peak of 2008.
- Because of increased volumes since that 2008, over the past ~3 yrs, well-qualified candidates have been turned away from top schools. There are more reapplicants each year now than there traditionally have been. This, we also think, is a “new normal.”
- In case you haven’t noticed, Wall Street is shaky again, Europe on the edge, MF Global collapsed, 200,000 layoffs announced in the financial sector… This typically results in more apps.
- This year, perhaps it’s the lure of the 1% calling BSers into bschool? Nobody wants to be a 99%er right?
This post was prompted by a question from a BSer when we threw out this prediction about Booth specifically. So to cover that case:
Booth continues to have lower app volumes than any other Top 5 school. They have significant room to grow in comparison to their similarly-ranked peers with similarly-sized programs. Booth has been firmly lodged in the #1 (or #2) slot on many rankings systems for a decade now, yet they don’t see the interest from candidates. Maybe it’s the cold and the snow. NYC and Boston have this, but opportunities are not quite the same (for different reasons) in those two places as Chicago. Regardless, we expect Chicago to continue increasing their app volume. (We do not expect Kellogg to do so significantly — they’ll hold their own, for sure, but we see more room to grow with Booth.)
None of this actually matters.
Many admissions directors have said that even when applications go up, the QUALITY of the candidate pool frequently does not. They just have to wade through more mud to get to the gold.
Make that gold YOU and you will have no problem at all.
A good candidate will stand out in any environment.
This is in the category of something you have no control over, so don’t worry your pretty little head about how many other BSers are also submitting to your favoritist school, and instead, spend that worryenergy in a productive place… like, how ’bout writing some essays this weekend?